According to predictions, Berlin will experience the same climate as the city of Toulouse in southern France by the year 2100. Predictions also include extreme weather conditions, such as prolonged hot and dry periods and heavy rainfall.
So, how do we know this? The Berlin Senate has kept a close eye on the development of our climate for years. Future scenarios have been drawn up based on measurements and models as commissioned by the Senate. These are based on long-term measurements of climate parameters. They yield ‘threshold days’, i.e. days when certain climate parameters fall below or exceed specific limits. This way, summer days, hot days, tropical nights or even frost days can be easily identified.
The number of each threshold day was determined for three periods: the reference period from 1971 to 2000, and the future periods from 2031 to 2060 and 2071 to 2100. The projected climate developments were also taken into account.
These calculations of the temperature threshold days add to the results of the updated Climate Analysis, providing insights into the spatial distribution and evolving frequency of heat events over time.
Browse our data, explanations and maps here to learn more about the climate development in our city and what the predictions are.
